NFL Touchdown Scorer Props for Week 5: Value Picks to Consider
As the NFL season rolls into Week 5, sportsbooks have opened up a treasure trove of touchdown scorer props, allowing fans and bettors alike to engage with the action in a thrilling way. Among the myriad of betting options, NFL touchdown scorer props stand out as a favorite among public bettors. However, with 14 games on the slate, sorting through the options can be daunting. Fortunately, I’ve done the legwork for you, analyzing all the available TD props to identify the picks that present the most value.
Last week, I went 4-4 on my anytime touchdown picks, finishing with a modest profit of 0.56 units from half-unit bets. This brings my season total to +1.28 units, and I’m eager to keep the momentum going. For Week 5, I’m focusing on eight players I believe are primed to find the end zone. Below, you’ll find my picks along with some rationale for each selection.
Best NFL TD Scorer Picks for Week 5
| Player | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Bijan Robinson | -125 (bet365) |
| Justin Jefferson | +105 (bet365) |
| Jayden Daniels | +135 (FanDuel) |
| Derrick Henry | -165 (FanDuel) |
| Stefon Diggs | +190 (Caesars) |
| Dontayvion Wicks | +210 (bet365) |
| Justin Fields | +165 (DraftKings) |
| Kareem Hunt | +135 (DraftKings) |
I’m placing a half-unit bet on each of the eight players listed above, except for Derrick Henry, who I’m backing with a full unit. As always, I may add a couple more plays on Sunday based on player status updates, so be sure to follow me on Twitter/X for any last-minute picks.
Player Analysis and Justifications
Bijan Robinson
Bijan Robinson has had a somewhat rocky start to the season, but he remains a key player in the Atlanta Falcons’ offense. Despite a limited workload in Week 4, he’s cleared to play without restrictions and is a versatile threat, especially in the passing game. With the Buccaneers allowing 5.0 yards per carry and having surrendered seven rushing touchdowns this season, Robinson is a solid bet to find the end zone.
Pick: Bijan Robinson Anytime TD (-125 at bet365)
Justin Jefferson
Justin Jefferson thrives against top cornerbacks, and this week’s matchup against Sauce Gardner of the New York Jets presents an intriguing opportunity. Jefferson has scored in every game this season and is a focal point of the Vikings’ offense, consistently seeing eight targets per game. His ability to line up in various positions makes him a tough cover, and I believe his odds should be shorter than they currently are.
Pick: Justin Jefferson Anytime TD (+105 at bet365)
Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels has quickly established himself as a dual-threat quarterback, showcasing both his passing and rushing abilities. With four rushing touchdowns already this season, he faces a Browns defense that has struggled against the run. Given the current state of the Cleveland defense, Daniels is well-positioned to add to his touchdown tally.
Pick: Jayden Daniels Anytime TD (+135 at FanDuel)
Derrick Henry
Derrick Henry has been a consistent force in the Ravens’ offense, scoring in each game this season. His usage has increased weekly, and he remains the primary option near the goal line. The Bengals have allowed five rushing touchdowns this season, making Henry a strong candidate to find the end zone again.
Pick: Derrick Henry Anytime TD (-165 at FanDuel)
Stefon Diggs
Stefon Diggs is set to face his former team, the Buffalo Bills, and I expect him to be heavily involved in the offense. Despite not scoring as frequently in recent weeks, he has been targeted consistently. In a game projected to have plenty of scoring, I believe Diggs will find a way to reach the end zone.
Pick: Stefon Diggs Anytime TD (+190 at Caesars)
Dontayvion Wicks
With Christian Watson likely sidelined, Dontayvion Wicks is primed for a breakout performance. He stepped up significantly last week, playing 76% of the snaps and scoring two touchdowns. The Rams’ defense has struggled, making Wicks an enticing option to score.
Pick: Dontayvion Wicks Anytime TD (+210 at bet365)
Justin Fields
Justin Fields has been effective as a runner, scoring three rushing touchdowns in his last two games. The Dallas defense has allowed eight rushing touchdowns this season, and with Micah Parsons potentially missing this game, Fields could exploit the matchup effectively.
Pick: Justin Fields Anytime TD (+165 at DraftKings)
Kareem Hunt
Kareem Hunt has quickly become the focal point of the Chiefs’ backfield, dominating touches in his return. With the Saints allowing 4.8 yards per carry, Hunt is in a favorable position to score his first touchdown of the season against a defense that has shown vulnerability.
Pick: Kareem Hunt Anytime TD (+135 at DraftKings)
Conclusion
With a plethora of options available for NFL touchdown scorer props in Week 5, these eight players stand out as the best bets based on current form, matchups, and overall offensive roles. As always, keep an eye on injury reports and player statuses leading up to game day, as these factors can significantly impact betting decisions. Good luck, and may your bets find the end zone!